Population dynamics and supply systems: a transdisciplinary approach / ed. by Hummel D. - Frankfurt / Main; New York: Campus-Verlag, 2008. - x, 294 p. - Ref.: p.255-289. - ISBN 978-3-593-38545-7  Место хранения:   022 | Институт экономики и организации промышленного производства | Новосибирск

Оглавление / Contents

Preface ........................................................ ix Introduction: Supplying the population as societal and scientific challenge ............................................ 1 Diana Hummel Part A: The analytical framework Diana Hummel, Christine Hertler, Steffen Niemann, Alexandra Lux, Cedric Janowicz 1 The demographic background .................................. 11 Changes in the discursive scenery ........................... 11 The growing asynchronal development of global demographic changes ..................................................... 13 Demographic transitions ..................................... 19 Impacts of demographic changes on society and environment ... 21 Population dynamics as subject of scientific disciplines .... 25 Demography and the population-environment-nexus ............. 28 2 The central analytical concept: Supply systems .............. 37 The basis of sustainable development ........................ 38 The dynamics of societal relations to nature ................ 40 Social-ecological systems ................................... 43 Conceptual model of supply systems .......................... 47 Social-ecological problem complexes within supply systems ... 51 Peculiarities of and linkages between, water and food supply systems 55 — Social-ecological transformations ....... 57 3 Research object: Interactions between demographic processes and transformations of supply systems ............. 59 Demographic factors relevant to supply systems .............. 59 Modeling related problems ................................... 62 Problems related to the dynamics of demographic processes ... 63 Regulation related problems ................................. 66 Case studies ................................................ 68 Part В: Case studies Christine Hertler 1 Modeling food supply and demography in prehistoric human populations ................................................. 73 A challenge: Reconstructing prehistoric populations ......... 74 Hominins as users in supply systems ......................... 76 Habitats and resource dynamics .............................. 83 Early hominins in their habitats ............................ 87 Hominin migrations .......................................... 92 Conclusions ................................................. 98 Steffen Niemann 2 Spatial aspects of supply: Migration, water transfer, and IWRM ........................................................ 99 The densely populated north of Namibia ..................... 103 Migration and resource-distant population concentration .... 105 IWRM and its specific spatial conception ................... 113 Area of alimentation* and 'area of consumption ............. 118 Conclusion ................................................. 124 Cedric Janowicz 3 The world goes urban: Food supply systems and urbanization processes in Africa ........................... 129 Global hunger and the Malthusian legacy .................... 131 The world goes urban: Urbanisation processes in the 21st century .................................................... 136 Feeding African cities: Accra as case study ................ 140 Conclusions ................................................ 158 Alexandra Lux 4 Shrinking cities and water supply .......................... 161 Facets of demographic shrinkage ............................ 162 Effects of demographic trends on water consumption ......... 164 Consequences for water supply—learning from eastern Germany .................................................... 171 Impulses for future decision-making. Uncertainty and adaptability ............................................... 174 Conclusions: Designing infrastructure using the concept of supply systems .......................................... 178 Diana Hummel 5 Population changes, water conflicts, and governance in the Middle East ............................................ 181 Resource scarcity, population dynamics and conflict ....... 183 Population dynamics the Jordan River Basin ................. 185 Water supply systems in the Jordan River Basin ............. 194 Potentials and risks of a virtual water strategy ........... 202 Conclusion 209 Part C: Synthesis Diana Hummel, Christine Hertler, Cedric Janowicz, Alexandra Lux, Steffen Niemann 1 Synopsis of case study results ............................. 213 Summary and discussion of case study results ............... 213 Demographic changes examined in the case studies and their relevance for supply systems ......................... 221 Interactions among population dynamics and supply systems .................................................... 226 2 Building sustainable supply systems: Requirements and prerequisites .............................................. 233 Social-ecological transformation and regulation of supply systems .................................................... 234 Challenges for the future regulation of supply systems ..... 236 Adaptivity and regulation capabilities of supply systems ... 242 3 Conclusions and perspectives ............................... 249 References ................................................. 255 List of figures and tables .................................... 291 About the authors ............................................. 293